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All scores Middle Tennessee @ Marshall, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Fubo Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on Fubo ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Marshall opens a 13.5-point favorite. Our model gives Marshall a 81% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 5–5 · Marshall won the last meeting, 42–28 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
MRSH win
81% One-score game
28% Cover MRSH −13.5
52%
81% One-score game
28% Cover MRSH −13.5
52%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) MRSH
Home-field edge MRSH
Market lean MRSH
Model projection MRSH
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Middle Tennessee @ Marshall
Your sims:Sims: MRSH 0, MTSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Middle Tennessee
Wvs Murray State38–14
Marshall
Lat Penn State45–0
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelMRSH 81%MarketMRSH 82%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $5,017 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMTSU +13.5MRSH −13.5
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
MONEYLINEMTSU +410MRSH −550
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Middle Tennessee vs Marshall Stats ComparisonMTSU vs Marshall Stats Comparison
| Middle TennesseeMTSU | MarshallMRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | PA/G | 45 |
| 396 | YDS/G | 147 |
| 200 | PASS/G | 103 |
| 196 | RUSH/G | 44 |
| 8.2 | YDS/PLAY | 2.7 |
| 42.9% | 3RD DOWN | 9.1% |
| 0.14 | DEF PPA | 0.42 |
| 50.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 29.1% |
| 44.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 51.4% |
| 32.5% | RET PROD | 98.8% |
| 1.30 | EXPLOSIVE | 0.89 |
| 1276 | ELO | 1389 |
| 38 | PPG | 0 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| 0.40 | OFF PPA | -0.17 |
| -20.8 | SP+ | -14.4 |
| -15.4#125 | FPI | -13.5#121 |
THE VENUE
Joan C. Edwards StadiumLocationHuntington, WV
Capacity38,016
SurfaceTurf
Opened1991
Elevation537 ft
FAN NEWS
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