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All scores Charlotte @ Ole Miss, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CharlotteCLT0–1·AAC
Ole MissMISS1–0·SEC
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Ole Miss opens a 47.5-point favorite. Our model gives Ole Miss a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
MISS win
99% One-score game
4% Cover MISS −47.5
24%
99% One-score game
4% Cover MISS −47.5
24%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) MISS
Home-field edge MISS
Market lean MISS
Model projection MISS
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Charlotte @ Ole Miss
Your sims:Sims: MISS 0, CLT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Charlotte
Lvs The Citadel43–41 (OT)
Ole Miss
Wvs Louisville41–38
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelMISS 99%MarketMISS 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $44,424 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADCLT +47.5MISS −47.5
TOTALOver 60.5Under 60.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Charlotte vs Ole Miss Stats ComparisonCharlotte vs Ole Miss Stats Comparison
| CharlotteCLT | Ole MissMISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | PPG | 41 |
| 43 | PA/G | 38 |
| 538 | YDS/G | 478 |
| 322 | PASS/G | 336 |
| 216 | RUSH/G | 142 |
| 7.3 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1 |
| 64.7% | 3RD DOWN | 37.5% |
| 0.29 | OFF PPA | 0.30 |
| 0.38 | DEF PPA | 0.39 |
| 46.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 46.3% |
| 48.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 45.6% |
| 40.9% | RET PROD | 50.3% |
| 1.49 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31 |
| 1182 | ELO | 1837 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| -26.0 | SP+ | 13.3 |
| -17.2#131 | FPI | 15.5#16 |
THE VENUE
Vaught-Hemingway StadiumLocationOxford, MS
Capacity64,038
SurfaceGrass
Opened1915
Elevation482 ft
FAN NEWS
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