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All scores Oklahoma @ Michigan, Week 2 · 2026
#11
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·OklahomaOU1–0·SEC
MichiganMICH1–0·B1G
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oklahoma opens a 5.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oklahoma a 66% chance.
SeriesOklahoma leads 2–0 · Oklahoma won the last meeting, 24–13 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
MICH win
34% One-score game
38% Cover OU −5.5
52%
34% One-score game
38% Cover OU −5.5
52%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) OU
Home-field edge MICH
Market lean OU
Model projection OU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Oklahoma @ Michigan
Your sims:Sims: MICH 0, OU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Oklahoma
Wvs UTEP51–0
Michigan
Wvs Western Michigan13–12
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelOU 66%MarketOU 68%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $483,835 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADOU −5.5MICH +5.5
TOTALOver 43.5Under 43.5
MONEYLINEOU −230MICH +190
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Oklahoma vs Michigan Stats ComparisonOklahoma vs Michigan Stats Comparison
| OklahomaOU | MichiganMICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | PPG | 13 |
| 401 | YDS/G | 276 |
| 231 | PASS/G | 170 |
| 170 | RUSH/G | 106 |
| 6.9 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8 |
| 54.5% | 3RD DOWN | 30.0% |
| 0.39 | OFF PPA | 0.24 |
| 55.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 43.8% |
| 33.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 31.4% |
| 63.2% | RET PROD | 69.2% |
| 1.19 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.08 |
| 1799 | ELO | 1686 |
| 21.7 | SP+ | 12.2 |
| 19.2#11 | FPI | 11.8#21 |
| 0 | PA/G | 12 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
| -0.25 | DEF PPA | -0.07 |
THE VENUE
Michigan StadiumLocationAnn Arbor, MI
Capacity107,601
SurfaceTurf
Opened1927
Elevation838 ft
FAN NEWS
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