Georgia State @ Kennesaw State, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Kennesaw State opens a 9.5-point favorite. Our model gives Kennesaw State a 72% chance.
SeriesGeorgia State leads 1–0 · Georgia State won the last meeting, 24–20 · 2018
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: KENN 0, GAST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $1,329 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Georgia State vs Kennesaw State Stats ComparisonGAST vs KENN Stats Comparison
| Georgia StateGAST | Kennesaw StateKENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | PPG | 47 |
| 563 | YDS/G | 508 |
| 279 | PASS/G | 211 |
| 284 | RUSH/G | 297 |
| 7.9 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3 |
| 58.3% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| 0.51 | OFF PPA | 0.29 |
| 59.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 57.3% |
| 29.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 15.1% |
| 46.5% | RET PROD | 6.1% |
| 1.12 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
| 1241 | ELO | 1373 |
| 10 | PA/G | 0 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
| -0.07 | DEF PPA | -0.25 |
| -22.7 | SP+ | -7.4 |
| -12.6#119 | FPI | -5.5#89 |
THE VENUE
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