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All scores South Florida @ Army, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Army opens a 3.5-point favorite. Our model gives Army a 62% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Army won the last meeting, 42–35 · 2004
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
ARMY win
62% One-score game
39% Cover ARMY −3.5
53%
62% One-score game
39% Cover ARMY −3.5
53%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) USF
Home-field edge ARMY
Market lean ARMY
Model projection ARMY
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
South Florida @ Army
Your sims:Sims: ARMY 0, USF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Florida
Wvs Florida International19–9
Army
Wvs Bryant59–3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelARMY 62%MarketARMY 62%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $10,343 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUSF +3.5ARMY −3.5
TOTALOver 46.5Under 46.5
MONEYLINEUSF +150ARMY −180
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
South Florida vs Army Stats ComparisonUSF vs Army Stats Comparison
| South FloridaUSF | ArmyARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | PPG | 59 |
| 9 | PA/G | 3 |
| 208 | YDS/G | 648 |
| 100 | PASS/G | 79 |
| 108 | RUSH/G | 569 |
| 3.7 | YDS/PLAY | 9.3 |
| 38.5% | 3RD DOWN | 66.7% |
| 43.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 65.3% |
| 38.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 31.5% |
| 12.6% | RET PROD | 80.2% |
| 0.65 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.29 |
| 1679 | ELO | 1527 |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
| -0.06 | OFF PPA | 0.69 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | -0.11 |
| -3.1 | SP+ | 2.2 |
| -2.3#75 | FPI | -1.9#74 |
THE VENUE
Michie StadiumLocationWest Point, NY
Capacity38,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1924
Elevation326 ft
FAN NEWS
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