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The Read
Pittsburgh opens a 7-point favorite. Our model gives Pittsburgh a 70% chance.
SeriesPittsburgh leads 2–1 · Pittsburgh won the last meeting, 35–34 · 2019
Your sims:Sims: PITT 0, UCF 0


Market-implied win probability


Model and market agree
Kalshi · $17,080 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
| UCFUCF | PittsburghPITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 73 | PPG | 59 |
| 6 | PA/G | 14 |
| 560 | YDS/G | 646 |
| 200 | PASS/G | 480 |
| 360 | RUSH/G | 166 |
| 9.3 | YDS/PLAY | 8.6 |
| 62.5% | 3RD DOWN | 70.0% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.55 | OFF PPA | 0.43 |
| 56.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 54.5% |
| 21.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 32.2% |
| 24.8% | RET PROD | 39.7% |
| 1.41 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34 |
| 1465 | ELO | 1681 |
| 5.9 | SP+ | 10.1 |
| 4.8#49 | FPI | 11.5#22 |
| -0.16 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
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