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Maryland @ UConn, Week 2 · 2026

@

GAME DAY

Week 2 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Maryland opens a 12.5-point favorite. Our model gives Maryland a 80% chance.

SeriesMaryland leads 3–1 · Maryland won the last meeting, 50–7 · 2024

WIN PROBABILITY
MD 80% CONN 20%
PROJECTED FINAL
CONN win
20%
One-score game
29%
Cover MD −12.5
53%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) CONN
Home-field edge CONN
Market lean MD
Model projection MD
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Maryland @ UConn

Your sims:Sims: CONN 0, MD 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Maryland82%
  2. UConn19%
CFB Vibes ModelMD 80%MarketMD 82%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $8,561 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

SPREADMD −12.5CONN +12.5
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5
MONEYLINEMD −470CONN +360

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

Maryland vs UConn Stats ComparisonMaryland vs UConn Stats Comparison

MarylandMDUConnCONN
62PPG56
646YDS/G671
57.1%3RD DOWN50.0%
1424ELO1484
0PA/G7

THE VENUE

Pratt & Whitney Stadium
LocationEast Hartford, CT
Capacity40,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2003
Elevation21 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#1@#4
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 55% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
SEC NetworkSIM NOW →
@#3
CFB VIBES MODELND 99% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#6@
CFB VIBES MODELORE 93% to win
86Games in Week 2Full schedule →