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All scores Buffalo @ Florida International, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Fubo Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on Fubo ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Florida International opens a 10.5-point favorite. Our model gives Florida International a 78% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
FIU win
78% One-score game
30% Cover FIU −10.5
56%
78% One-score game
30% Cover FIU −10.5
56%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) FIU
Home-field edge FIU
Market lean FIU
Model projection FIU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Buffalo @ Florida International
Your sims:Sims: FIU 0, BUF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Buffalo
Wvs UAlbany21–17
Florida International
Lat South Florida19–9
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelFIU 78%MarketFIU 79%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $34,027 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADBUF +10.5FIU −10.5
TOTALOver 47.5Under 47.5
MONEYLINEBUF +340FIU −440
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Buffalo vs Florida International Stats ComparisonBuffalo vs FIU Stats Comparison
| BuffaloBUF | Florida InternationalFIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | PPG | 9 |
| 17 | PA/G | 19 |
| 340 | YDS/G | 381 |
| 189 | PASS/G | 301 |
| 151 | RUSH/G | 80 |
| 4.2 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1 |
| 47.6% | 3RD DOWN | 29.4% |
| 0.15 | OFF PPA | 0.11 |
| 39.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 38.2% |
| 29.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.1% |
| 1.15 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13 |
| 1365 | ELO | 1385 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
| -0.05 | DEF PPA | -0.06 |
| -0.8% | RET PROD | 31.6% |
| -11.6 | SP+ | -13.5 |
| -12.6#118 | FPI | -12.1#115 |
THE VENUE
Pitbull StadiumLocationMiami, FL
Capacity20,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1995
Elevation20 ft
FAN NEWS
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