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Missouri @ Kansas, Week 2 · 2026

#23@

GAME DAY

Week 2 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Missouri opens a 5.5-point favorite. Our model gives Missouri a 66% chance.

SeriesMissouri leads 55–48–8 · Missouri won the last meeting, 42–31 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
MIZ 66% KU 34%
PROJECTED FINAL
KU win
34%
One-score game
37%
Cover MIZ −5.5
53%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) MIZ
Home-field edge KU
Market lean MIZ
Model projection MIZ
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Missouri @ Kansas

Your sims:Sims: KU 0, MIZ 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Missouri67%
  2. Kansas33%
CFB Vibes ModelMIZ 66%MarketMIZ 67%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $38,594 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only

SPREADMIZ −5.5KU +5.5
TOTALOver 50.5Under 50.5
MONEYLINEMIZ −218KU +180

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

Missouri vs Kansas Stats ComparisonMissouri vs Kansas Stats Comparison

MissouriMIZKansasKU
54PPG51
14PA/G6
562YDS/G613
60.0%3RD DOWN61.5%
1666ELO1510

THE VENUE

Memorial Stadium
LocationLawrence, KS
Capacity47,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1921
Elevation902 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#1@#4
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 55% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
SEC NetworkSIM NOW →
@#3
CFB VIBES MODELND 99% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#6@
CFB VIBES MODELORE 93% to win
86Games in Week 2Full schedule →