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Arkansas @ Utah, Week 2 · 2026

@#20

GAME DAY

Week 2 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Utah opens a 12.5-point favorite. Our model gives Utah a 81% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY
UTAH 81% ARK 19%
PROJECTED FINAL
UTAH win
81%
One-score game
29%
Cover UTAH −12.5
53%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) UTAH
Home-field edge UTAH
Market lean UTAH
Model projection UTAH
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Arkansas @ Utah

Your sims:Sims: UTAH 0, ARK 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3
UtahUtah2026: 1–0 (0–0 B12)
Wvs Idaho66–14

Market-implied win probability

  1. Utah81%
  2. Arkansas19%
CFB Vibes ModelUTAH 81%MarketUTAH 81%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $21,575 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only

SPREADARK +12.5UTAH −12.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
MONEYLINEARK +390UTAH −520

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

Arkansas vs Utah Stats ComparisonArkansas vs Utah Stats Comparison

ArkansasARKUtahUTAH
31PPG66
14PA/G14
415YDS/G633
58.8%3RD DOWN66.7%
1547ELO1817

THE VENUE

Rice-Eccles Stadium
LocationSalt Lake City, UT
Capacity51,444
SurfaceTurf
Opened1998
Elevation4,631 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#1@#4
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 55% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
SEC NetworkSIM NOW →
@#3
CFB VIBES MODELND 99% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#6@
CFB VIBES MODELORE 93% to win
86Games in Week 2Full schedule →