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Arizona @ BYU, Week 2 · 2026

@#15

GAME DAY

Week 2 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

BYU opens a 7.5-point favorite. Our model gives BYU a 73% chance.

SeriesBYU leads 14–12–1 · BYU won the last meeting, 33–27 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
BYU 73% ARIZ 27%
PROJECTED FINAL
BYU win
73%
One-score game
34%
Cover BYU −7.5
56%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) BYU
Home-field edge BYU
Market lean BYU
Model projection BYU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Arizona @ BYU

Your sims:Sims: BYU 0, ARIZ 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3
BYUBYU2026: 1–0 (0–0 B12)
Wvs Utah Tech63–7

Market-implied win probability

  1. BYU74%
  2. Arizona27%
CFB Vibes ModelBYU 73%MarketBYU 74%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $17,455 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

SPREADARIZ +7.5BYU −7.5
TOTALOver 47.5Under 47.5
MONEYLINEARIZ +240BYU −298

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

Arizona vs BYU Stats ComparisonArizona vs BYU Stats Comparison

ArizonaARIZBYUBYU
35PPG63
7PA/G7
520YDS/G521
58.3%3RD DOWN81.8%
1625ELO1666

THE VENUE

LaVell Edwards Stadium
LocationProvo, UT
Capacity63,470
SurfaceGrass
Opened1964
Elevation4,633 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#1@#4
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 55% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
SEC NetworkSIM NOW →
@#3
CFB VIBES MODELND 99% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#6@
CFB VIBES MODELORE 93% to win
86Games in Week 2Full schedule →